Through mathematical modelling, the ECDC forecasted the disease burden between now and the end of November 2021. This model showed that countries with low COVID-19 vaccination coverage that plan to relax non-pharmaceutical community mitigation strategies run a high risk of seeing a significant rise in cases, hospitalisations and mortality. This forecast was published in the ECDC’s latest <A href="https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/covid-19-rapid-risk-assessment-16th-update-september-2021.pdf" target="_blank">Rapid Risk Assessment</A> report released on September 30